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<OAI-PMH schemaLocation=http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/ http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/OAI-PMH.xsd> <responseDate>2018-01-15T18:30:03Z</responseDate> <request identifier=oai:HAL:hal-01145464v1 verb=GetRecord metadataPrefix=oai_dc>http://api.archives-ouvertes.fr/oai/hal/</request> <GetRecord> <record> <header> <identifier>oai:HAL:hal-01145464v1</identifier> <datestamp>2018-01-11</datestamp> <setSpec>type:ART</setSpec> <setSpec>subject:sde</setSpec> <setSpec>collection:CNRS</setSpec> <setSpec>collection:IFREMER</setSpec> <setSpec>collection:SDE</setSpec> <setSpec>collection:EPHE</setSpec> <setSpec>collection:GIP-BE</setSpec> <setSpec>collection:INSU</setSpec> <setSpec>collection:UNIV-PERP</setSpec> <setSpec>collection:CRIOBE</setSpec> <setSpec>collection:AGROPOLIS</setSpec> <setSpec>collection:PSL</setSpec> <setSpec>collection:UNIV-AG</setSpec> <setSpec>collection:UNIV-NC</setSpec> <setSpec>collection:EHESS</setSpec> <setSpec>collection:UNIV-POLYNESIE</setSpec> <setSpec>collection:UPF</setSpec> </header> <metadata><dc> <publisher>HAL CCSD</publisher> <title lang=en>Forecasted coral reef decline in marine biodiversity hotspots under climate change</title> <creator>Descombes, Patrice</creator> <creator>Wisz, Mary S.</creator> <creator>Leprieur, Fabien</creator> <creator>Parravicini, Valerianio</creator> <creator>Heine, Christian</creator> <creator>Olsen, Steffen M.</creator> <creator>Swingedouw, Didier</creator> <creator>Kulbicki, Michel</creator> <creator>Mouillot, David</creator> <creator>Pellissier, Loïc</creator> <contributor>Unit of Ecology and Evolution ; University of Fribourg</contributor> <contributor>Department of Ecology and Environment ; DHI-Group</contributor> <contributor>Ecologie des systèmes marins côtiers (Ecosym) ; Université Montpellier 1 (UM1) - Université Montpellier 2 - Sciences et Techniques (UM2) - Institut Français de Recherche pour l'Exploitation de la Mer (IFREMER) - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)</contributor> <contributor>CESAB/FRB ; Fondation pour la Recherche sur la Biodiversité</contributor> <contributor>Centre de recherches insulaires et observatoire de l'environnement (CRIOBE) ; Université de Perpignan Via Domitia (UPVD) - École pratique des hautes études (EPHE) - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)</contributor> <contributor>Shell International Exploration & Production ; Shell International Exploration & Production</contributor> <contributor>EarthByte Group, School of Geosciences, ; The University of Sydney [Sydney]</contributor> <contributor>Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI)</contributor> <contributor>Environnements et Paléoenvironnements OCéaniques (EPOC) ; Observatoire aquitain des sciences de l'univers (OASU) ; Université Sciences et Technologies - Bordeaux 1 - Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS) - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) - Université Sciences et Technologies - Bordeaux 1 - Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS) - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) - École pratique des hautes études (EPHE) - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)</contributor> <contributor>Laboratoire d'Excellence CORAIL (LabEX CORAIL) ; Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD) - Université des Antilles et de la Guyane (UAG) - École des hautes études en sciences sociales (EHESS) - École pratique des hautes études (EPHE) - Institut Français de Recherche pour l'Exploitation de la Mer (IFREMER) - Université de la Réunion (UR) - Université de la Polynésie Française (UPF) - Université de Nouvelle Calédonie - Institut d'écologie et environnement</contributor> <contributor>Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies ; James Cook University (JCU) - School of Marine and Tropical Biology</contributor> <description>International audience</description> <source>ISSN: 1354-1013</source> <source>EISSN: 1365-2486</source> <source>Global Change Biology</source> <publisher>Wiley</publisher> <identifier>hal-01145464</identifier> <identifier>https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01145464</identifier> <source>https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01145464</source> <source>Global Change Biology, Wiley, 2015, Epub ahead of print. 〈10.1111/gcb.12868〉</source> <identifier>DOI : 10.1111/gcb.12868</identifier> <relation>info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1111/gcb.12868</relation> <language>en</language> <subject lang=en>sea surface temperature</subject> <subject lang=en>specialists</subject> <subject lang=en>fossil</subject> <subject lang=en>species distribution model</subject> <subject lang=en>species richness</subject> <subject lang=en>fish</subject> <subject>[SDE.MCG] Environmental Sciences/Global Changes</subject> <type>info:eu-repo/semantics/article</type> <type>Journal articles</type> <description lang=en>Coral bleaching events threaten coral reef habitats globally and cause severe declines of local biodiversity and productivity.Related to high sea surface temperatures (SST), bleaching events are expected to increase as a consequenceof future global warming. However, response to climate change is still uncertain as future low-latitude climatic conditionshave no present-day analogue. Sea surface temperatures during the Eocene epoch were warmer than forecastedchanges for the coming century, and distributions of corals during the Eocene may help to inform models forecastingthe future of coral reefs. We coupled contemporary and Eocene coral occurrences with information on their respectiveclimatic conditions to model the thermal niche of coral reefs and its potential response to projected climate change.We found that under the RCP8.5 climate change scenario, the global suitability for coral reefs may increase up to 16%by 2100, mostly due to improved suitability of higher latitudes. In contrast, in its current range, coral reef suitabilitymay decrease up to 46% by 2100. Reduction in thermal suitability will be most severe in biodiversity hotspots, especiallyin the Indo-Australian Archipelago. Our results suggest that many contemporary hotspots for coral reefs,including those that have been refugia in the past, spatially mismatch with future suitable areas for coral reefs posingchallenges to conservation actions under climate change.</description> <date>2015-03</date> </dc> </metadata> </record> </GetRecord> </OAI-PMH>