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<title lang=en>Global warming and the collapse of theFrench Guiana shrimp fishery</title>
<creator>Diop, Bassirou</creator>
<creator>Sanz, Nicolas</creator>
<creator>Duplan, Yves Jamont Junior </creator>
<creator>Guene, Elhadji Mama</creator>
<creator>Blanchard, Fabian</creator>
<creator>Doyen, Luc</creator>
<creator>Pereau, Jean-Christophe</creator>
<contributor>Centre de Recherche en Economie, Gestion, Modélisation et Informatique Appliquée (CEREGMIA) ; Université des Antilles et de la Guyane (UAG)</contributor>
<contributor>Institut de Physique de Rennes (IPR) ; Université de Rennes 1 (UR1) - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)</contributor>
<contributor>Ifremer, Unité Biodiversité Halieutique de Guyane ; Unité Biodiversité Halieutique de Guyane</contributor>
<contributor>Groupe de Recherche en Economie Théorique et Appliquée (GREThA) ; Université de Bordeaux (UB) - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)</contributor>
<identifier>hal-01243305</identifier>
<identifier>https://hal.univ-antilles.fr/hal-01243305</identifier>
<identifier>https://hal.univ-antilles.fr/hal-01243305/document</identifier>
<identifier>https://hal.univ-antilles.fr/hal-01243305/file/Diop%20et%20al.%20%282015%29.pdf</identifier>
<source>https://hal.univ-antilles.fr/hal-01243305</source>
<source>Document travail CEREGMIA. 2015</source>
<language>en</language>
<subject lang=en>Resource management</subject>
<subject lang=en>Climate change</subject>
<subject lang=en>Temperature</subject>
<subject>JEL : O</subject>
<subject>JEL : Q</subject>
<subject>[QFIN] Quantitative Finance [q-fin]</subject>
<subject>[SHS.ECO] Humanities and Social Sciences/Economies and finances</subject>
<subject>[SDE.BE] Environmental Sciences/Biodiversity and Ecology</subject>
<type>info:eu-repo/semantics/preprint</type>
<type>Preprints, Working Papers, ...</type>
<description lang=en>This paper studies the biological and economic effects of globalwarming on the French Guiana shrimp
fishery. The sea surface tem-perature is explicitly introduced into four natural growth functions,among which the Cobb-Douglas function best adjusts the availabledata. Besides, a Cobb-Douglas harvest function is also estimated, in-dicating that shrimp production in French Guiana is highly sensitive tothe shrimp stock, which implies that global warming may have strongeconomic implications. We
nally consider a centralized resource man-agement of the French Guiana shrimp
shery, that is undertaken invarious trend scenarios concerning the sea surface temperature. Un-der the most plausible scenario, in which the sea surface temperaturefollows the trend of the last decades, pro
ts and biomass respectivelydecrease and collapse around the end of the 2020s.</description>
<date>2015-12-01</date>
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